Another India-Pakistan war? High likelihood of military retaliation: US intel

The annual threat assessment report by the US Director of National Intelligence predicts the possibility of conflict between India and Pakistan with particular concern due to the risk of an “escalating cycle between the two nuclear-armed states”.

Given Pakistan’s history of supporting extremist groups, the report acknowledged the high likelihood of India responding to “perceived or actual Pakistani provocations” with military force under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi. The report noted that each side’s perception of heightened tensions increases the risk of conflict, with violent unrest in Kashmir or terrorist attacks in India being potential flashpoints.

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The report comes at a time when India strongly criticized Pakistan after Pakistan’s Foreign Minister Bilawal Bhutto Zardari raised the issue of Jammu and Kashmir at the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) debate on women, peace and security.

India’s Permanent Representative to the United Nations Ruchira Kamboj called Zardari’s remarks “baseless and politically motivated” and said it was also “unworthy” to respond to such “malicious and false propaganda”.

In his response, Kamboj dismissed Zardari’s remarks as “frivolous” and said, “Before I conclude, I would like to note the frivolous, baseless and politically motivated comments made by the representative of Pakistan regarding the Union Territory of Jammu and Kashmir Dismiss the comment.”

Read also: Will Modi become the savior of Pakistan and save it from economic crisis?

A US intelligence report states that conflict between India and its neighbors, China and Pakistan, is likely to escalate and requires the United States’ immediate attention.

This highlights that the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war has emerged as a defining feature of the current era, and that China has the potential to directly change the global order by changing global norms and potentially threatening its neighbours. ability to try.

The report also warns about the risk of an armed confrontation between nuclear-armed India and China due to their expanded military positions along the disputed border. This emphasizes that past standoffs have shown how persistent low-level friction along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) can quickly escalate.