Priyanka Gandhi Vadra has been in the headlines for the last four days in Uttar Pradesh. Lakhimpur, arrived at the guest house sweeping the floor amidst a flurry of interviews Lakhimpur with Rahul Gandhi, sweeping the floor in Valmiki area on Friday and now PM. a mega rally is planned in Narendra ModiVaranasi parliamentary constituency on Sunday.
Some may see this as a hope of a revival of the Grand Old Party (GOP) in Uttar Pradesh, but the BJP really has no objection to this increased political space for Priyanka in Uttar Pradesh. This, in fact, seems to be a concerted strategy of the BJP to make Priyanka ‘look like a factor’, while the BJP’s major political opponents in the state, the Samajwadi Party and Mayawati’s BSP, treat Priyanka and the Congress “as non”. rejects. -Factor” which has no voter base in UP.
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The fact that in 2014, 2017 and 2019 in UP, upper castes and Muslims have voted for the Congress to some extent, but not in numbers to help the party make an impact. The current political space being given to the Congress appears to be an attempt by the BJP to ensure that some of its own upper caste voters in UP who are upset with the BJP for various reasons do not vote for the SP or BSP, but instead. go to Congress. The same goes for preventing the consolidation of Muslim votes.
UP Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath in an interaction with News18 UP on Friday asked why opposition leaders, including the BSP, did not visit the families of “Brahmin men” killed in the Lakhimpur violence. Her remarks on Priyanka sweeping the floor in Sitapur, that “the public has let her down”, prompted the Congress to now launch a statewide campaign, alleging that Dalits and women were humiliated by the CM. has gone.
banbang @priyankagandhi Jean is wearing an item inherited from Indrivadra. s pic.twitter.com/y5H4ku4c9P
– Congress (@INCIndia) 8 October 2021
However, both the SP and the BSP seem to have been left behind in the Lakhimpur episode, and some leaders of these parties alleged a ‘fixed match’ between the BJP and the Congress on how Priyanka was allowed to proceed to Sitapur. Went. On Monday, while Akhilesh was not even allowed to come out of his residence that day.
But will an upbeat Congress also harm the BJP in UP or will it only hurt the chances of SP and BSP in the 2022 elections?
a lesson in history
Priyanka entered politics in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections as general secretary in charge of UP, with Rahul Gandhi at a big roadshow in Lucknow. The SP-BSP-RLD contested the elections in alliance, with the Congress fighting separately. The opposition alliance could win only 15 out of 80 seats while Congress lost Rahul Gandhi’s Amethi seat as well. Sonia Gandhi won from Rae Bareli seat.
Read also | ‘BJP is afraid of its Durga avatar’: Congress slams Yogi for remarks on Priyanka on sweeping floor
However, a key statistic from those elections caught the attention of the BJP. It seemed that the Congress might have lost the SP-BSP-RLD alliance in around 10 Lok Sabha seats as the victory margin of the BJP candidates in these seats was less than the votes cast by the Congress candidates.
So, although the Congress won just one seat and lost 3/4 of its seats, it hurt the opposition alliance where it suffered the most – in securing significant votes.
Priyanka, while campaigning in those elections, had argued that her party would either win the seat it was contesting or harm the BJP, but the figures rubbished the claims.
In the 2017 assembly elections, Rahul Gandhi attempted a major plan to improve the party’s 28-seat performance in the 2012 elections, and a state-wide letter yatra was conducted before the Balakot attack, after which the Congress sided with the Samajwadi Party. aligned with. In those elections, the Congress was reduced to just seven seats.
In UP, the strongest challenger to the BJP in terms of organization, the Samajwadi Party, seems to be ‘comfortable’, while the weakest challenger with less network on the ground, the Congress, seems to be the most aggressive. This is in stark contrast to the case of Bihar, where RJD’s Tejashwi Yadav was a combination of ‘organization and aggression’ and ran the BJP-JDU closely in the polls, but lost due to the poor performance of his ally Congress.
The UP opposition lacks a combination like Tejashwi Yadav and Priyanka may again prove to be an X-factor for the BJP in the 2022 elections.
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