39 of 56 league stage matches IPL 2021 Now completed. Only two teams out of eight have now been assured of qualification and as things stand CSK and DC should take the top two slots after the league stage, with their final rankings depending on which team wins more ( Both teams have 4 matches left to play).
But mathematically, a team like Sunrisers Hyderabad is still in the race for four play-off berths, though their chances of qualifying are just over 1%. For all practical purposes we can see four teams fighting for a spot in the top four in the days to come.
Shankar Raghuraman TOI made calculations to show each team’s chances of qualifying after Sunday’s games, assuming that the chances of winning or losing in any given match are 50-50, given the form of some teams believed. There is a big notion.
The analysis also ignores the net run rate, as with four to five games left for each team, the current NRR is likely to change significantly.
Here are all the playoff chances for all 8 teams as things stand now, with 17 league stage matches left to play:
1) CSK, who currently top the table, are assured of qualifying and have a 96.7% chance of finishing in the top two slots.
2) DC, who are tied in points with CSK but are below them on net run rate, are also assured of qualification and have a 95% chance of finishing in the top two.
3) RCB, currently ranked third with 12 points, have a 94.9% chance of finishing in the top four either alone or combined, but only a 26% chance of finishing in one of the top two slots.
4) Barring these three teams, no team has a better chance of making it to the playoffs.
5) KKR, who are currently ranked fourth, have a 36% chance of making it to one of the top four slots, either singly or jointly. It can’t be better than the other and the probability of doing so is only 0.7%
6) Like KKR, PK also has a 36 per cent chance of making it to the playoffs and may not top the table. Its chance of second place is just 0.9%
7) RR are currently in sixth place, but with an extra game along with KKR and PK, their chances of making the playoffs are better than 55%. They can also move to the top of the table and have a 4% chance of finishing in the top two slots
8) MI are level with KKR and PK on points and game and have 36% chance of qualifying and no chance of topping. Like those two teams their chances of finishing in the top two are less than 1% to 0.7%
9) SRH are still not out of it mathematically and Sunday’s results have indeed raised their chances of being in the top four, either alone or combined, to 1.1%. But they can’t do better than third place and their odds of doing so are a mere 0.05%, or one in 2,000. If SRH loses to RR today, they will be well and truly out of the race for the playoffs.
10) For all practical purposes, CSK, DC and RCB have been assured of qualification (95% chance of making all three) and the one who is the catcher now is one of the top four slots
But mathematically, a team like Sunrisers Hyderabad is still in the race for four play-off berths, though their chances of qualifying are just over 1%. For all practical purposes we can see four teams fighting for a spot in the top four in the days to come.
Shankar Raghuraman TOI made calculations to show each team’s chances of qualifying after Sunday’s games, assuming that the chances of winning or losing in any given match are 50-50, given the form of some teams believed. There is a big notion.
The analysis also ignores the net run rate, as with four to five games left for each team, the current NRR is likely to change significantly.
Here are all the playoff chances for all 8 teams as things stand now, with 17 league stage matches left to play:
1) CSK, who currently top the table, are assured of qualifying and have a 96.7% chance of finishing in the top two slots.
2) DC, who are tied in points with CSK but are below them on net run rate, are also assured of qualification and have a 95% chance of finishing in the top two.
3) RCB, currently ranked third with 12 points, have a 94.9% chance of finishing in the top four either alone or combined, but only a 26% chance of finishing in one of the top two slots.
4) Barring these three teams, no team has a better chance of making it to the playoffs.
5) KKR, who are currently ranked fourth, have a 36% chance of making it to one of the top four slots, either singly or jointly. It can’t be better than the other and the probability of doing so is only 0.7%
6) Like KKR, PK also has a 36 per cent chance of making it to the playoffs and may not top the table. Its chance of second place is just 0.9%
7) RR are currently in sixth place, but with an extra game along with KKR and PK, their chances of making the playoffs are better than 55%. They can also move to the top of the table and have a 4% chance of finishing in the top two slots
8) MI are level with KKR and PK on points and game and have 36% chance of qualifying and no chance of topping. Like those two teams their chances of finishing in the top two are less than 1% to 0.7%
9) SRH are still not out of it mathematically and Sunday’s results have indeed raised their chances of being in the top four, either alone or combined, to 1.1%. But they can’t do better than third place and their odds of doing so are a mere 0.05%, or one in 2,000. If SRH loses to RR today, they will be well and truly out of the race for the playoffs.
10) For all practical purposes, CSK, DC and RCB have been assured of qualification (95% chance of making all three) and the one who is the catcher now is one of the top four slots
What were the playoff chances at the end of September 25? to find outHere.
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