O’Micron: It’s very attractive, even if few people gasp

Omicron has already had an impact on India. This week, this novel version of the Covid bug foreshadowed a major policy call on the economy’s core value of money, which could remain negative for longer than expected and eventually make the goods we buy even more expensive. could. Macro stability may again deteriorate from micro-volatility. Some three weeks ago, the zoom-in of this new strain of Sars-CoV-2 took breath away with a slew of mutations that posed scary puzzles. First identified by South Africa, it was flagged as a concern by the World Health Organization (WHO) on 26 November, when India’s official 7-day rolling average of daily infections fell below 10,000, but 57 countries It has already been detected in Since then, including India. Globally, how fast it spreads could undermine Delta’s epidemic dominance. So far, all have been confirmed to have high infectivity of Omicron, but this alone has shattered hopes of an early endemic of COVID. Achieving a low and stable rate of cases has become difficult. However, a virus that is so attractive, we don’t need to gasp too much. On the seriousness of the Omicron infection, we can still breathe a sigh of relief. However, we must not allow the risk of another COVID to be taken lightly.

Field data has indicated that Omicron is even more contagious than Delta. South Africa is in the grip of its fourth wave of COVID-19, and while this does not need to happen elsewhere, recent studies suggest that each omicron carrier can infect three or more others. Plus, according to the WHO, deltas may be three times more likely to re-infect us after 90 days. On the other hand, its ability to make people sick appears to be quite weak. Unlike the delta wave this summer, COVID wards in South Africa have not swarmed yet, and oxygen demand has not increased. Although its relatively mild effects remain to be explored, Omicron may well be the result of evolutionary science prediction. There was a strange case of Delta virus evolving into a version that was both more infectious and virulent. An optimal survival path for this would be to become more attractive and lighter instead. To pass from one host to another, Omicron also seems to be better able to dodge our immune defenses – natural or injected – though we don’t know how cleverly it can do so. Initial fears that it will be overtaken by vaccines have indicated that this may only be a matter of degree, and does not negate the value of vaccination. Covid jabs are still useful and the cynicism they give us must be firmly opposed.

If Omicron’s disease risk is much lower than Delta’s, will its added attractiveness concern us? Yes. Even if it manages to come out wide, we could end up in a tight spot. Remember that the first oddity of Covid that immediately discredited it, how varied its effects were, from just a few sniffles to outright suffocation. If this pattern persists in large numbers, it would mean that a large number of people around the average may be relatively safe, the same cannot be said of everyone in the country. India has seen only two dozen omicron cases so far, the restrictions we have put in place to stop its spread may seem excessive. some of them are. However, judging by what has come out credibly, this is not a false alarm. Whether our central bank should prolong its reciprocal of the original cost of credit is another matter.

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