If players adopt a ‘Trumpian’ attitude, it presents itself as a road to uncertainties and risk failure
Months after Iran’s presidential election in June, multilateral nuclear talks With a new Iranian negotiating team has begun once again in Vienna. Iran’s chief negotiator Ali Bagheri Qani reportedly demanded that the deal be scrapped in a previous round of talks in June regarding a new Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). As a matter of fact, a report by a non-partisan organization suggests that Iran began exceeding the JCPOA limits on both its permitted reserves and the level of enrichment, a year after the Donald Trump administration pulled out of the deal in May 2018. and began to reimpose economic sanctions. ,
What do Iran and America say
At the moment, the new round of Vienna talks does not show any positive results. Both sides are completely adamant and want the other side to back down and make concessions before proceeding. Iran insists on lifting all sanctions, while the US is asking Iran to return to low enrichment of uranium and accept full International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspections. According to some analysts, the current impasse is not due to two reasons. First and foremost, Iran is playing the North Korean card, while leaving the economic zone of the United States and Europe to join China and Russia. Americans, on the other hand, don’t have a very clear direction for Iran’s future, especially because the US president, Joe Biden, has been refusing to commit his administration to lifting sanctions on Iran during the remainder of his presidency. Huh.
Europe line
So far they have been almost non-existent in these new negotiations as far as the Europeans are concerned. Nevertheless, Enrique Mora, deputy secretary-general/political director of the European External Action Service, which coordinates talks between Tehran and the six powers to revive the 2015 nuclear deal, seems very positive about the way the talks will begin. Were. According to him: “P4+1 must “fully take into account the political sensibilities of the new Iranian administration”, while the Iranian delegation “recognizes the work done in the last six rounds and the fact that we will build on” further on this job”.
Despite Mr Mora’s positive comments, it appears Europeans are trying to salvage the deal as quickly as Iran ramps up uranium enrichment. But at the same time, it seems that they are not forceful mediators in these talks, given that there are Chinese and Russians, who are on the side of the Iranians.
chinese note
Chinese comments about the West’s “nuclear hypocrisy” suggested it sympathized with the fundamental arguments of Iranian negotiators, who have been treated as a fundamental injustice by the US – an injustice in which Europeans have been complicit. Unsurprisingly, while the Iranian negotiating team believes that time is running out for the US, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has warned Iran that it is “too late to return to the nuclear deal”. “. However, he also said that “it is not too late for Iran to salvage an agreement aimed at curbing Iran’s nuclear capabilities in exchange for Washington easing sanctions”.
Tehran’s stand, Israel’s point of view
Overall, the new Iran nuclear deal presents itself as a path full of uncertainties. Iran appears to have moved ahead in the current nuclear talks in Vienna armed with a new normal nuclear strategy. Indeed, the demands of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei have consistently focused on the complete lifting of sanctions. But, at the same time, the newly elected government led by Ibrahim Raisi has repeatedly declared that nothing is agreed until everything is agreed upon. The Raisi government appears to be testing international red lines, and trying to take advantage of Iran’s expanded nuclear program to generate more concessions from the international community, without paying significant costs. As a result, there is growing pessimism over whether the Iran nuclear deal can be revived.
The fact that Iran has begun using advanced centrifuges to further enrich 20% uranium at the underground Fordo facility is troubling the IAEA. Meanwhile, Israeli officials are pressuring European governments and the US over the real Iranian nuclear threat. However, according to former Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Yalon, “the main mistake of the last decade was the abandonment of the deal during the Trump administration.” However, we must not forget that Israel’s prime minister, Naftali Bennett, openly declared in late November that, “the mistake we made after the first nuclear deal in 2015 will not repeat itself.” He recently asked Washington to start using “a different toolkit against Iran’s further gallop in the field of prosperity.”
There is no doubt that Israel views the Islamic Republic of Iran as an existential threat. From Israel’s point of view, this threat can be particularly justified by the current hegemony military operation in the Levant, Iran. All this does not necessarily mean that Israel has plans to take military action against Iran, but the situation is not encouraging for the Israelis.
Whatever the case, the main question remains: can the nuclear talks in Vienna solidify or collapse without any consequences. No one has the answer to this question yet. But one thing is certain: Iran and the US will both fail if they try to surround each other with a “Trumpian” attitude. After all, if the JCPOA is a complicated matter, it is because diplomacy is about managing complexity.
Ramin Jahanbeglu is the director of the Mahatma Gandhi Center for Nonviolence and Peace Studies at the OP Jindal Global University, Sonepat.
Testing of red lines in Iran nuclear talks
If players adopt a ‘Trumpian’ attitude, it presents itself as a road to uncertainties and risk failure
Months after Iran’s presidential election in June, multilateral nuclear talks With a new Iranian negotiating team has begun once again in Vienna. Iran’s chief negotiator Ali Bagheri Qani reportedly demanded that the deal be scrapped in a previous round of talks in June regarding a new Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). As a matter of fact, a report by a non-partisan organization suggests that Iran began exceeding the JCPOA limits on both its permitted reserves and the level of enrichment, a year after the Donald Trump administration pulled out of the deal in May 2018. and began to reimpose economic sanctions. ,
What do Iran and America say
At the moment, the new round of Vienna talks does not show any positive results. Both sides are completely adamant and want the other side to back down and make concessions before proceeding. Iran insists on lifting all sanctions, while the US is asking Iran to return to low enrichment of uranium and accept full International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspections. According to some analysts, the current impasse is not due to two reasons. First and foremost, Iran is playing the North Korean card, while leaving the economic zone of the United States and Europe to join China and Russia. Americans, on the other hand, don’t have a very clear direction for Iran’s future, especially because the US president, Joe Biden, has been refusing to commit his administration to lifting sanctions on Iran during the remainder of his presidency. Huh.
Europe line
So far they have been almost non-existent in these new negotiations as far as the Europeans are concerned. Nevertheless, Enrique Mora, deputy secretary-general/political director of the European External Action Service, which coordinates talks between Tehran and the six powers to revive the 2015 nuclear deal, seems very positive about the way the talks will begin. Were. According to him: “P4+1 must “fully take into account the political sensibilities of the new Iranian administration”, while the Iranian delegation “recognizes the work done in the last six rounds and the fact that we will build on” further on this job”.
Despite Mr Mora’s positive comments, it appears Europeans are trying to salvage the deal as quickly as Iran ramps up uranium enrichment. But at the same time, it seems that they are not forceful mediators in these talks, given that there are Chinese and Russians, who are on the side of the Iranians.
chinese note
Chinese comments about the West’s “nuclear hypocrisy” suggested it sympathized with the fundamental arguments of Iranian negotiators, who have been treated as a fundamental injustice by the US – an injustice in which Europeans have been complicit. Unsurprisingly, while the Iranian negotiating team believes that time is running out for the US, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has warned Iran that it is “too late to return to the nuclear deal”. “. However, he also said that “it is not too late for Iran to salvage an agreement aimed at curbing Iran’s nuclear capabilities in exchange for Washington easing sanctions”.
Tehran’s stand, Israel’s point of view
Overall, the new Iran nuclear deal presents itself as a path full of uncertainties. Iran appears to have moved ahead in the current nuclear talks in Vienna armed with a new normal nuclear strategy. Indeed, the demands of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei have consistently focused on the complete lifting of sanctions. But, at the same time, the newly elected government led by Ibrahim Raisi has repeatedly declared that nothing is agreed until everything is agreed upon. The Raisi government appears to be testing international red lines, and trying to take advantage of Iran’s expanded nuclear program to generate more concessions from the international community, without paying significant costs. As a result, there is growing pessimism over whether the Iran nuclear deal can be revived.
The fact that Iran has begun using advanced centrifuges to further enrich 20% uranium at the underground Fordo facility is troubling the IAEA. Meanwhile, Israeli officials are pressuring European governments and the US over the real Iranian nuclear threat. However, according to former Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Yalon, “the main mistake of the last decade was the abandonment of the deal during the Trump administration.” However, we must not forget that Israel’s prime minister, Naftali Bennett, openly declared in late November that, “the mistake we made after the first nuclear deal in 2015 will not repeat itself.” He recently asked Washington to start using “a different toolkit against Iran’s further gallop in the field of prosperity.”
There is no doubt that Israel views the Islamic Republic of Iran as an existential threat. From Israel’s point of view, this threat can be particularly justified by the current hegemony military operation in the Levant, Iran. All this does not necessarily mean that Israel has plans to take military action against Iran, but the situation is not encouraging for the Israelis.
Whatever the case, the main question remains: can the nuclear talks in Vienna solidify or collapse without any consequences. No one has the answer to this question yet. But one thing is certain: Iran and the US will both fail if they try to surround each other with a “Trumpian” attitude. After all, if the JCPOA is a complicated matter, it is because diplomacy is about managing complexity.
Ramin Jahanbeglu is the director of the Mahatma Gandhi Center for Nonviolence and Peace Studies at the OP Jindal Global University, Sonepat.
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