Six months after Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine, it seems that the conflict has entered a dangerous stalemate. Ukraine resisted the Russian attack well, forcing the invading troops to retreat from around Kyiv, its capital, and another city, Kharkiv, but in the east and south, it lost many territories. The war appears to have strengthened the Trans-Atlantic Coalition, which was evident in Sweden and Finland applying to join NATO, but the West continues to grapple with the heat of the economic consequences, particularly during the winter of the Russian Federation. Amid growing fears of the gas supply drying up. Russia made territorial gains in the Donbass and southern Ukraine, but its setbacks in the north and northeast and its inability to secure quick, decisive battlefield victories elsewhere exposed the gap between its rhetoric and reality. Russia has stopped ground attacks, but it continues to bomb cities in Ukraine at will, the latest being an August 24 attack on a railway station. Ukraine’s Independence Day, which also marked six months of the invasion. Ukraine’s strategy is making the occupation costly for the Russians rather than taking the territory back. There are constant attacks on the bases of Russia’s Crimea and Kherson. Russian intelligence has blamed Ukraine for the car bombing that killed the daughter of an aide to President Vladimir Putin.
Reports in recent weeks suggest that Russian intelligence had seriously miscalculated the Ukrainian resistance before the war. When the Kyiv regime was facing a multi-pronged attack from Russia, Russian generals had to change their strategy, from lightning strikes across the country to a concentrated ground offensive in the east. This was even complicated by the resistance of Ukraine, which had received military and financial support from the West. As the war progressed, the West’s resolve to punish Russia only hardened, leading to severe sanctions on the Russian economy. So, Mr. Putin is now in one place despite the limited battlefield advantage of his troops: managing an economy hit by sanctions is a long task in itself; Continuing the war would be costly, and there is no certainty that it would accomplish its strategic goals through a long-term war. And for Ukraine, despite its deterrence capabilities and support from the West, it is impractical to take back territories using force. Therefore, to break the deadlock, both sides can agree to a ceasefire and start direct talks in search of a political solution. UN and Turkey-mediated talks found success in July Shipping grain from Ukraine’s ports A model is being followed through the Black Sea. Regional players with open communication lines to Moscow and Kyiv should prompt them to come to the table. If the war of exodus is allowed to escalate, it will continue to hurt all stakeholders apart from taking the global economy hostage.