New Delhi: The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is likely to return to power in Uttar Pradesh in the 2022 assembly elections, though the number of seats the saffron party is expected to win has come down significantly, according to the latest round of opinion. More than 72,000 samples were surveyed in the ABP-CVoter-IANS survey between October and the first week of November.
The other major political players of the state – Samajwadi Party (SP), Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and Congress are not in a position to oust the party. Yogi Adityanath Government in 2022, as it is the situation today.
According to the latest round of opinion polls, the ruling BJP is expected to garner 40.7 per cent votes in the assembly elections. Notably, the saffron party has consistently maintained its vote share of around 41 per cent in the state; In the 2017 assembly elections, the BJP got 41.4% of the votes.
As for the vote share of other major political players in the state, the survey shows that while the SP’s vote share is expected to increase from 23.6 per cent in 2017 to 31.1 per cent in 2022, the BSP’s vote share is expected to increase by 7.5 per cent. have hope. The vote share is expected to decline to 7.1 per cent from 22.2 per cent in 2017 to 15.1 per cent in 2022.
The country’s oldest party- the Congress, which has been out of power in the state since 1989, is expected to get 8.9 per cent of the vote. In 2017, it got 6.3 percent of the vote.
In terms of the number of seats, according to the survey data, the BJP and its allies are projected to capture between 213 and 221 seats in the 2022 assembly elections. Though the BJP and its alliance partners will see a drop of nearly 100 seats from the 325-seat figure it won in 2017, the alliance is expected to comfortably cross the majority mark.
The total strength of the Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly is 403 seats. The SP and its alliance partners, emerging as the major challenger to the saffron party, are expected to win 152 to 160 seats this time. The survey further shows that the BSP is steadily losing political ground in the state as the party can win only 16 to 20 seats. The Congress party is likely to capture 6 to 10 seats.
Notably, the survey found that more people do not want Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath to return to power once again in 2022. During the survey, 51.9 per cent of the respondents said that they do not want Yogi Adityanath to be occupied. Post, 48.9 percent expressed their opinion in his favor.
However, interestingly, Yogi is still the most preferred choice for the top post in the state as compared to other prominent contenders for the chief minister’s post. During the survey, 41.4 per cent respondents said that Yogi is their preferred choice, 31.4 per cent favored SP chief Akhilesh Yadav for the top post and 15.6 per cent respondents said they want to see the BSP supremo. Mayawati as the next Chief Minister.
During the survey, only 4.9 percent of those interviewed wanted Congress leaders Priyanka Gandhi Vadra will be the next Chief Minister of the state.
Another interesting finding of the survey is that majority of the respondents believe that Mayawati, who has been a major political player in the state for more than three decades, has become irrelevant in this election.
60.3 per cent of those surveyed believe that the Dalit leader is out of the race for the upcoming assembly elections, while only 30.7 per cent believe that he is still a major contender.
Congress general secretary Priyanka Gandhi has been actively campaigning for her party in Uttar Pradesh, with protests over a range of issues in recent months, however, survey data shows that her political activism may have led to her political activism in the upcoming assembly. There will be no benefit to the party. State elections.
Of those interviewed, 52.8 per cent respondents said that Priyanka Gandhi being active in Uttar Pradesh would not benefit the Congress, with 47.2 per cent believing that Gandhi would be able to woo enough voters to the party.
According to the latest round of surveys conducted after the horrific incident, the Lakhimpur Kheri incident in which protesters were crushed and mob lynching took place, will affect the BJP’s electoral prospects.
During the survey, 62.1 percent of the respondents said that the Lakhimpur Kheri incident would hurt the BJP’s electoral prospects, 21.5 percent said that the incident would benefit the saffron party, which turned into a major controversy, following which the farming community There was widespread protest.
Survey data shows that Akhilesh Yadav is forming alliances with smaller parties that are essentially caste-centric and with limited support to a few districts such as the OP Rajbhar-led Suheldev Bharat Samaj Party (SBSP) in the upcoming assembly. Will harm BJP’s electoral prospects. Election
Survey data suggests that unemployment, farmers’ protest, price rise and Ram temple will be major issues in the upcoming assembly elections.
During the survey, while 29.7 per cent respondents said that law and order would be the biggest issue, 16.7 per cent said that unemployment would be the most important issue. 14.7 percent of those interviewed believed that inflation would be the major issue, while 14.1 percent said that the Ram temple would be the most important.
The other major political players of the state – Samajwadi Party (SP), Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and Congress are not in a position to oust the party. Yogi Adityanath Government in 2022, as it is the situation today.
According to the latest round of opinion polls, the ruling BJP is expected to garner 40.7 per cent votes in the assembly elections. Notably, the saffron party has consistently maintained its vote share of around 41 per cent in the state; In the 2017 assembly elections, the BJP got 41.4% of the votes.
As for the vote share of other major political players in the state, the survey shows that while the SP’s vote share is expected to increase from 23.6 per cent in 2017 to 31.1 per cent in 2022, the BSP’s vote share is expected to increase by 7.5 per cent. have hope. The vote share is expected to decline to 7.1 per cent from 22.2 per cent in 2017 to 15.1 per cent in 2022.
The country’s oldest party- the Congress, which has been out of power in the state since 1989, is expected to get 8.9 per cent of the vote. In 2017, it got 6.3 percent of the vote.
In terms of the number of seats, according to the survey data, the BJP and its allies are projected to capture between 213 and 221 seats in the 2022 assembly elections. Though the BJP and its alliance partners will see a drop of nearly 100 seats from the 325-seat figure it won in 2017, the alliance is expected to comfortably cross the majority mark.
The total strength of the Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly is 403 seats. The SP and its alliance partners, emerging as the major challenger to the saffron party, are expected to win 152 to 160 seats this time. The survey further shows that the BSP is steadily losing political ground in the state as the party can win only 16 to 20 seats. The Congress party is likely to capture 6 to 10 seats.
Notably, the survey found that more people do not want Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath to return to power once again in 2022. During the survey, 51.9 per cent of the respondents said that they do not want Yogi Adityanath to be occupied. Post, 48.9 percent expressed their opinion in his favor.
However, interestingly, Yogi is still the most preferred choice for the top post in the state as compared to other prominent contenders for the chief minister’s post. During the survey, 41.4 per cent respondents said that Yogi is their preferred choice, 31.4 per cent favored SP chief Akhilesh Yadav for the top post and 15.6 per cent respondents said they want to see the BSP supremo. Mayawati as the next Chief Minister.
During the survey, only 4.9 percent of those interviewed wanted Congress leaders Priyanka Gandhi Vadra will be the next Chief Minister of the state.
Another interesting finding of the survey is that majority of the respondents believe that Mayawati, who has been a major political player in the state for more than three decades, has become irrelevant in this election.
60.3 per cent of those surveyed believe that the Dalit leader is out of the race for the upcoming assembly elections, while only 30.7 per cent believe that he is still a major contender.
Congress general secretary Priyanka Gandhi has been actively campaigning for her party in Uttar Pradesh, with protests over a range of issues in recent months, however, survey data shows that her political activism may have led to her political activism in the upcoming assembly. There will be no benefit to the party. State elections.
Of those interviewed, 52.8 per cent respondents said that Priyanka Gandhi being active in Uttar Pradesh would not benefit the Congress, with 47.2 per cent believing that Gandhi would be able to woo enough voters to the party.
According to the latest round of surveys conducted after the horrific incident, the Lakhimpur Kheri incident in which protesters were crushed and mob lynching took place, will affect the BJP’s electoral prospects.
During the survey, 62.1 percent of the respondents said that the Lakhimpur Kheri incident would hurt the BJP’s electoral prospects, 21.5 percent said that the incident would benefit the saffron party, which turned into a major controversy, following which the farming community There was widespread protest.
Survey data shows that Akhilesh Yadav is forming alliances with smaller parties that are essentially caste-centric and with limited support to a few districts such as the OP Rajbhar-led Suheldev Bharat Samaj Party (SBSP) in the upcoming assembly. Will harm BJP’s electoral prospects. Election
Survey data suggests that unemployment, farmers’ protest, price rise and Ram temple will be major issues in the upcoming assembly elections.
During the survey, while 29.7 per cent respondents said that law and order would be the biggest issue, 16.7 per cent said that unemployment would be the most important issue. 14.7 percent of those interviewed believed that inflation would be the major issue, while 14.1 percent said that the Ram temple would be the most important.
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