chinese tea leaf reading

It is necessary to understand how politics will be shaped by the National Congress and vice versa.

It is necessary to understand how politics will be shaped by the National Congress and vice versa.

TeaHe 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC) It is scheduled to begin in Beijing on 16 October. The week-long political program, held every five years, has some important tasks which include reshuffling of personnel, amending the party’s constitution and announcing future policy. The party general secretary will present a comprehensive political report. Although, this version China’s political landscape, in particular, marks a significant departure in elite politics.

seek full power

Xi Jinping is galloping towards a third term. Although the party charter is silent on the limit of the general secretary’s term, a 2018 state constitution amendment abolished the two-term limit of the state’s presidency. Extending the term of the presidency would result in an alignment of government and party positions. According to the 1982 state constitution, there were separate people in party and state positions. It was only in 1993 that the two top positions began to be held by the same person. Jiang Zemin, who was appointed party general secretary during the Tiananmen Square crisis in 1989, and was re-elected to the 14th CCP National Congress in 1992, served as party general secretary until 2002 and state president from 1993 to 2003. Hu Jintao occupied the same position for two terms. Mr. Xi’s target for a third term, however, remains certain. The retirement age of 68 years will have no bearing on their prospects. Mr. Xi is 69, but being done ‘ hexene‘ or Central Committee of the ‘core’ party makes it’ yibashou‘ or ‘First Hand’, indicating his absolute power.

In China, the state president is commonly referred to as ‘ guojia zhuxi’ Or the state president, it would not be surprising if Mr. Xi took a similar position in the party as Mao Zedong and Hua Guofeng did. The post of party president would put Mr. Xi above the Politburo Standing Committee, the top leadership body of the Central Committee. that this absolute power’ guojia zhuxi‘ can be seen in the selection of Congress representatives. Unlike the previous sessions of the Congress, this time the list of representatives of the central organs of the party and the state workers has been merged. Similarly, representatives of the People’s Liberation Army and the Armed Police are clubbed together. In addition, frontline workers who won honorary titles in the ‘New Era of Xi’ in the corps or provinces have also been elected representatives. On the other hand, Mr. Xi’s protégé, Ying Yong, a former secretary of the Hubei Party and member of the Central Committee, who was appointed as deputy prosecutor general to the Supreme People’s Procuratorate in August, was not on the list of congressional delegates. Mr. Ying will likely be promoted to head of a national leadership position in March next year.

Mr. Xi’s third term will cement his position as the new center of the factional power base. Already maintaining a strong mentor-client relationship with his disciples in Zhejiang, Fujian and Shanghai, Mr. Xi is also forming an alliance, particularly with the Communist Youth League group, which includes Hu Jintao, Premier Li Keqiang and President of Chinese People Political. Consultative Conference National Committee, Wang Yang, are some of the prominent leaders. Hu Jintao’s son Hu Haifeng is elected to his first Party Congress from Zhejiang. Li Xiaopeng, the son of former Prime Minister Li Peng, is the Minister of Transport and a member of the Central Committee. This trend indicates that Mr. Xi is also co-opting princely states from rival factions, so that ‘winner takes all’ politics has more room.

Feather Seventh Plenary Meeting of the outgoing 19th Central Committeemembers approved policies and drafted amendments to the CPC’s constitution, which would be formally unveiled in Congress. Xi Jinping Reflects on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New EraWhich was enshrined in the constitution in 2017, possibly Xi Jinping’s view can be amended. Similarly, amendments will be other important agendas on deepening the party’s governance through self-improvement and vigorously reforming its conduct.

implications for India

For India’s China-watchers, the upcoming Party Congress is crucial. some ‘Reputed’ delegates include 2020 Galwan Valley veterans and others serving in military districts across the India-China border. Similarly, the other important development is the fate of two former Chinese ambassadors who served in Delhi. Le Yucheng, an alternate member of the Central Committee, has been removed from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Once a third-ranking member in the Chinese Foreign Ministry, Mr. Le is not even a representative this time. On the other hand, Mr. Le’s successor, Luo Zhaohui, who heads China’s foreign aid agency, is a representative. Given Mr. Xi’s emphasis on key country diplomacy, Mr. Luo is likely to get a seat on the 20th Central Committee. Mr. Luo’s experience in South Asia, especially with India 2017 doklam crisisHis chances have improved.

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Consolidating the party’s control over every function in the state is also not going away. Reading Chinese tea leaves is essential to understanding how politics will be shaped by the National Congress and vice versa.