The chances of candidates joining the BJP in 2017 and 2022 were more likely to win than the turncoats fielded by the SP.
The chances of candidates joining the BJP in 2017 and 2022 were more likely to win than the turncoats fielded by the SP.
A post-poll survey by Lokniti-CSDS found that 44 per cent of those who voted for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in Uttar Pradesh considered the work of the Modi government while casting their votes. Astonishingly, only 2% said they adore the work of the MLA. These findings suggest that a voter is more influenced by the work of a national/regional leader than the work of a legislator. Thus, candidates find it advantageous to jump ship and place their bets on the leaders/parties who are most favored in the election. In the last five UP elections, 551 candidates have switched parties between Samajwadi Party (SP), Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP), Congress and BJP. The chances of candidates joining the BJP in 2017 and 2022 were more likely to win than the turncoats fielded by the SP.
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BSP lost maximum number of candidates (199) to SP, BJP and Congress during last five elections
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2 SP managed to get the highest turncoat in the last five assembly elections. Around 181 joined the party from BSP, BJP and Congress
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3 candidates who joined BJP in 2017 were the most successful
Destination BJP
The chart shows the number of candidates going to the BJP in the last five elections. The BJP was the most sought-after party for turncoats in 2017 and fielded 76 candidates who switched sides.
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Destination SP
The chart shows the number of candidates going to the SP in the last five elections. In 2002, 2007 and 2022 the SP was the most preferred option for the turncoat. The party had fielded 260 turncoats in the last five elections.
Destination Congress
The chart shows the number of candidates going to Congress in the last five elections. Congress has been the least preferred choice for turncoats
Destination BSP
The chart shows the number of candidates going to the BSP in the last five elections. BSP received its highest number of turncoats in 2007 (51)
strike rate
The table lists the strike rates of turncoats (won/seats contested) fielded by the four major parties
*Other parties: parties other than SP, BJP, BSP and Congress
Source: Lok Dhaba, Ashoka University
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