Gold price under pressure amid US Fed rate hike buzz at Jackson Hole meeting

Gold rate today: On account of US dollar gaining strength and US dollar index climbing up to 11-week high of 104.25 levels, gold prices in international and domestic market continue to trade flat. Gold future contract on Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) for October 2023 expiry opened lower at 58,743 per 10 gm levels and went on to hit intraday low of 58,696 levels. In international spot market, gold price today is down by near 0.15 per cent and it is reeling around $1,915 per ounce levels.

Likewise, silver rates today opened lower at 73,317 per kg levels on MCX and went on to hit intraday low of 73,281 levels. In international market, silver price is oscillating around $24 per ounce levels, logging an intraday loss of near 0.30 per cent during morning deals in Asian stock market on Friday.

US Fed meeting in focus

On why gold and silver prices are under pressure, Anuj Gupta, Head – Commodity & Currency Research at HDFC Securities said, “Bullion prices are under pressure due to US Fed rate hike buzz. Market is expecting that Jerome Powell may announce 25 bps rate hike in his speech at Jackson Hole Symposium. This has lifted US Dollar Index at 11-week high, which has put other assets under pressure.”

Expecting rebound in gold prices, Deveya Gaglani, Research Analyst – Commodities at Axis Securities said, “Gold price on MCX are able to sustain above the immediate zone of 58,600 level, which is a positive sign for gold rate today. It has broken the 5-day trading range, which is a bullish sign for the precious yellow metal. Additionally, it closed above 9 EMA on the daily chart, and the momentum indicator RSI is also trading above its reference line, which is a positive sign for prices.”

Levels to watch

On important levels in regard to gold rates today, Anuj Gupta of HDFC Securities said, “In international market, gold prices has initial support at $1,900 per ounce levels whereas it has crucial support placed at $1,880 levels. On breaching this crucial support levels, yellow metal may become highly bearish. However, much would depend upon the outcome from Jackson Hole meeting.”

“On MCX, gold price today has immediate support placed at 58,300 per 10 gm levels whereas its crucial near term support is placed at 58,000 levels,” Anuj Gupta concluded.

Gold-silver ratio

Expecting strong bounce back in silver in comparison to gold, Sugandha Sachdeva, Executive Director & Chief Strategist at Acme Investment Advisors said, “The ratio is currently hovering around 79.31, reflective of gold trading at approximately $1914.60 per ounce and silver at around $24.14 per ounce. This ratio shift suggests that silver’s performance has surpassed that of gold, with the ratio nearing a crucial support point at 78. Should this threshold be breached, silver’s outperformance might intensify due to the rising industrial demand for the white metal in solar panels, 5G technologies, in silver oxide batteries and electrical equipment.”

Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, and not of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

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Updated: 25 Aug 2023, 10:17 AM IST