England’s crucial win over New Zealand on Tuesday kept their semi-final qualification hopes alive and started a lucrative final round of matches where net run rate could be crucial. The three teams (New Zealand, England and Australia) are now tied on five points, each with one match to play and are only separated on net RR in that order. So far, no team has been confirmed to reach the semi-finals. As things stand we take a look at the state of the game.
ICC T20 World Cup 2022 pic.twitter.com/TuhKEaVXg6— Akash Kharade (@cricaakash) 1 November 2022
Who is in the driving seat to reach the semi-finals?
New Zealand have an edge over their qualification rivals at the top of the group, thanks to their excellent net run rate of +2.233, which was established in Australia’s 89-run opening game.
That net is almost as good as a point for the RR Black Caps, meaning New Zealand have a huge advantage in the race for qualification.
The Kiwis will have to lose to Ireland in their final match with a significant margin to give Australia and England a chance to deprive them of the top two spots.
net run rate equation
If all three of New Zealand, England and Australia win their final matches then it will come down to Net RR. Australia’s -0.304 puts them on the back foot in that column, but with Aaron Finch’s side playing England the day before, a marker can lay down and put pressure on whether they can make up for the big margin of victory over Afghanistan on Friday. do management.
Playing the next day means England will know what it takes to qualify when they face Sri Lanka on Saturday. If Australia fails to catch England (+0.547) and New Zealand (+2.233) at run rate, both those sides will find that a win by any margin in their respective final matches will send them to the semi-finals.
rest group
Ireland are mathematically still with a chance, but this is the slimmest opportunity, with the Irish needing a bigger margin of victory and then two other results to be on their way to finish in the top two. Andrew Balbirnie’s team will be aiming to break into the top four and automatically qualify for the next ICC Men’s T20 World Cup.
Sri Lanka could qualify so far. A win over England in the last game of the group would advance them to the semi-finals if either New Zealand or Australia lost the day before. Afghanistan are the first team not mathematically to qualify for the semi-finals, losing to Sri Lanka with just two points from four matches.
remaining fixtures
Ireland v New Zealand – Friday 04 November, Adelaide Ovala
New Zealand could effectively qualify for the semi-finals with a win over Ireland in the first match of the final round matches. A huge margin of victory would make things a whole lot safer, leaving Australia in need of a miracle to overhaul the Black Caps on net run rate. Another shocking result for the Irish would see Australia, England and Sri Lanka snatch the qualification spots.
Australia v Afghanistan – Friday 04 November, Adelaide Oval
Australia will be looking to make a huge splash against Afghanistan in the second match on Friday in Adelaide. If they have just seen New Zealand beat Ireland, the hosts of the tournament will look to take a big lead in the net RR.
Sri Lanka v England – Saturday 05 November, SCG, Sydney
England will go into the final game of Group 1, knowing what they need to qualify for the semi-finals. It could be just a win, or it could be a win by a certain margin based on Net RR. Sri Lanka’s qualification hopes would still be alive if either Australia or New Zealand dropped points in their matches.