Study finds 69% success rate for predicting fog conditions around KIA

The study that the JNCASR team is conducting, which aims to help airport and airline executives, expects to achieve a 75% success rate

The study that the JNCASR team is conducting, which aims to help airport and airline executives, expects to achieve a 75% success rate

An ongoing study by Jawaharlal Nehru Center for Advanced Scientific Research (JNCASR) to predict fog conditions at Kempegowda International Airport (KIA) and reduce air traffic congestion during winter months has yielded favorable results.

The JNCASR team, which is conducting this study on the state of the environment around the airport, has been able to get a success rate between 65% and 69%.

Leading the study, Prof. KR Srinivas said that his team of scientists has been able to identify certain indicators that cause fog and be able to predict whether there will be fog around the airport.

“We have identified some indicators. So far we are getting a success rate of around 65% to 69% in predicting whether there will be fog around the airport,” said Mr. Srinivas.

aiming high

However, the team of scientists is not satisfied with the current success rate for fog prediction and is working on achieving higher targets. “The current success rate is not as good as we think. We are hopeful that we will be able to increase it to 75 per cent.”

read also , New model for predicting fog at airports

In 2019, Bangalore International Airport Limited (BIAL) which operates KIA signed an agreement To study four years with JNCASR. The aim of the study was to develop a numerical simulation tool that would be able to predict the onset of fog around the airport.

delay due to pandemic

Srinivas said the pandemic has hit and there have been delays in experimentation.

“The two main instruments needed for the study were imported from Europe and by the time they arrived we had an outbreak of Covid-19. We missed the winter season of 2020 due to pandemic and flight cancellations. We currently have data for the fog season (2021) and need to do more experiments in the upcoming winter season,” Srinivas said.

Upon completion of the study, the team plans to inform airports, airlines and other stakeholders about the possibility of fog at around 10 am every day.

early warning

“What we’ve seen from our experiments so far is that fog usually starts in the early hours of the day. If we’re able to report about 10 a.m., the airlines and the others involved will already be there. Can decide whether to depart from their respective airports and avoid circling Bengaluru airspace.

Signing the agreement, BIAL had said that once the numerical simulation tool is developed, the airport will be able to capture visibility information in advance. “The forecasting mechanism will be of great benefit to the airline operators, who incur additional financial losses due to diversion and protracted delays,” it had said.